Randy’s uneducated guesses
August 26, 2008
Finally the season is upon us. If you haven’t been listening to the Pre-Season Blitz Podcasts then I’d like to know just what the hell you’ve been doing for the past month.
As is my tradition (remember, if you’re an Aggie and you do anything once, it is a tradition) I have sat down and guessed out the schedule for all of the teams for the entire season.
I know… I know… this is absolute lunacy, but this is what I do and how I try and prepare myself for the season. As the season progresses I fill in the results of games and adjust any predictions and then use these guesses to plot out the bowl predictions.
This year, I’m giving you a behind the scenes look at my thoughts going into the season. Enjoy.
Key: We=Expected Wins Le=Expected Losses Win Exp %=Expected Winning Percentage
| School | We | Le | Win Exp % |
| ACC | |||
| Clemson | 11 | 2 | 84.62% |
| Virginia Tech | 11 | 2 | 84.62% |
| Maryland | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Wake Forest | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Florida State | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Boston College | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Georgia Tech | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Miami, FL | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| North Carolina | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Virginia | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Duke | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| NC State | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Big 12 | |||
| Missouri | 12 | 1 | 92.31% |
| Oklahoma | 12 | 1 | 92.31% |
| Texas | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Texas A&M | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Texas Tech | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Nebraska | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Kansas | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Colorado | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Kansas State | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Oklahoma State | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Baylor | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Iowa State | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Big East | |||
| South Florida | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| West Virginia | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Rutgers | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| UConn | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Cincinnati | 8 | 5 | 61.54% |
| Louisville | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Pittsburgh | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Syracuse | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Big Ten | |||
| Wisconsin | 11 | 1 | 91.67% |
| Ohio State | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Illinois | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Iowa | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Michigan State | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Purdue | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Penn State | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Indiana | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Northwestern | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Michigan | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Minnesota | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Conference USA | |||
| UCF | 9 | 4 | 69.23% |
| Tulsa | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| SMU | 8 | 5 | 61.54% |
| East Carolina | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Southern Miss | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| UTEP | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| UAB | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Marshall | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Memphis | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Tulane | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Houston | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Rice | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Independents | |||
| Notre Dame | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Navy | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Western Kentucky | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Army | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| MAC | |||
| Central Michigan | 9 | 4 | 69.23% |
| Western Michigan | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Buffalo | 7 | 6 | 53.85% |
| Ball State | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Temple | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Miami, OH | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Northern Illinois | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Kent State | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Ohio | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Akron | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Toledo | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Bowling Green | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Mountain West | |||
| BYU | 11 | 1 | 91.67% |
| Utah | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| New Mexico | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| TCU | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Wyoming | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| San Diego State | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Air Force | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| UNLV | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Colorado State | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Pac-10 | |||
| USC | 11 | 1 | 91.67% |
| Arizona State | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Washington | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Arizona | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| California | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Oregon | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| UCLA | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Oregon State | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Stanford | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Washington State | 2 | 11 | 15.38% |
| SEC | |||
| Florida | 12 | 1 | 92.31% |
| Georgia | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Auburn | 10 | 3 | 76.92% |
| South Carolina | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Tennessee | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| LSU | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Ole Miss | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Alabama | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Kentucky | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Arkansas | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Vanderbilt | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Sun Belt | |||
| Florida Atlantic | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Troy | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| North Texas | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Arkansas State | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Louisiana – Lafayette | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| FIU | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Middle Tennessee | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Louisiana – Monroe | 1 | 11 | 8.33% |
| WAC | |||
| Boise State | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Fresno State | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Louisiana Tech | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| New Mexico State | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Nevada | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Hawaii | 5 | 8 | 38.46% |
| San Jose State | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Idaho | 1 | 11 | 8.33% |
| Utah State | 1 | 11 | 8.33% |