NBL Pre-snap Read 08/28/2008
August 28, 2008
Welcome Bootleggers to the premier episode of the Pre-Snap Read for the 2008 season. Each and every week here on the pre-snap read we will be looking at a few key matchups for the upcoming weeknd and this episode will be no different. Some of the matchups we will be taking a look at in this episode include Utah @ Michigan, Florida Atlantic @ Texas, Michigan State @ California, Washington @ Oregon an Fresno State@ Rutgers. We will also be going in depth with our preview of matchups between Alabama and Clemson and the Illinois/Missouri game, as well as any news around the world of college football.
The AP is reporting that Indiana defensive end Greg Middleton, who led the nation with 16 sacks last season, and three other players have been suspended for one game for undisclosed disciplinary reasons.
Middleton was first-team All-Big Ten and a third-team All-America selection.
The suspensions, announced Tuesday by coach Bill Lynch, will be for the Hoosiers’ season-opening game Saturday against Western Kentucky. Ryan Marando, who had six sacks last season, will replace Middleton in the starting lineup.
The other suspended players, none of them starters, are tight end Troy Wagner, safety Brandon Mosley and freshman defensive end Kyle Kozak.
Utah @ Michigan
- Big question is will Michigan start off as poorly this season as they did last year?
- Michigan still has to be second guessing their coaching choice
- Utah is not a demoralized team, un-like Michigan, and they believe they can win
- QB Brian Johnson will have the game of his life against a patchy Michigan defense
- Michigan is going to take one right on the chin in their own house
Florida Atlantic @ Texas
- Although I am high on FAU, it is a tough win to get when playing at Texas, even if the Longhorns are not near the team they were in previous seasons
- It’s going to be interesting to see how the new 4-2-5 alignment works against a likely pass happy Florida Atlantic team
- Texas offense may be a little softer, but Colt McCoy still can make things happen, but the Owls have probably the best defense in the Sun Belt and should make a pretty good play at stopping the Longhorns
Michigan State @ California
- Spartans are taking a young team to Berkley…especially their offense. Brian Hoyer has to have the game of his life at QB and young players like Fred Smith have to step up quickly for the Spartans to leave week 1 with a win
- Newcomer Kevin Riley is going to get the start at QB for the Bears. This is too important of a game for the Bears and it sets the stage for making their way through a tough season schedule. Rest assured that If Riley has a great game, like will be looking up in Berkley, but should the Spartan leave with a win, Coach Tedford will hear it all the way from Tightwad Hill that he should have played Longshore more.
Washington @ Oregon
- Can Jake Locker and his young backs and receivers get past 8 returning defensive starters from last year’s Oregon team?
- How bad will Oregon miss having Dixon in the lineup and will the fresh legs of Justin Roper be able to carry the offense?
Fresno State @ Rutgers
- For those that like to watch two passing teams go head to head, I think we can expect to see it
- Fresno State brings back 10 offensive starters and will look to come out passing the football with Todd Brandstater running the show from under center and a solid crop of receivers
- Rutgers is going to have to look to the pass if for no other reason that they are missing Ray Rice from last season. Mike Teel should have a good season though, but he won’t get much by the Fresno State defense.
Illinois @ Missouri
- Overall Observations
- Rematch of last year’s even matchup
- Last year may have gone differently had Illinois not had 5 turnovers, one of which was a fumble retuned for 100 yard TD
- This year, Ron Zook’s team will not have any of that.
- Illinois
- The big difference this year for Illinois is that they do not have Rashard Mendenhall in the lineup, who in last years game delivered two of the Illini’s touch downs
- Illinois will be looking to Daniel Dufrene and Troy Pollard to try to step into Mendenhall’s shoes, which may not be out of the realm of possibility as Dufrene did manage a little over 6 yards per carry last season, including nearly 10 yards per carry against Missouri in last season’s game
- Illinois also returns Juice Williams, who I think settles down a bit this season and show well against Missouri. Keep in mind that last year, he did complete 2/3 of has passes against Missouri and didn’t throw any picks
- Missouri
- Missouri, of course, returns some potent offensive firepower in Chase Daniels, who I would be very surprised if he didn’t climb again towards the top of a lot of peoples Heisman list this season.
- In last year’s matchup against Illinois, Daniels threw for 359 yards and 3 TD’s, so there is no reason to doubt his ability to find weaknesses in the Illini defense and exploit them
- And he did so by spreading the ball around to several receivers, most of which will be returning this year.
- Where Missouri suffers is on the defensive side of the football, where they have had several injuries and other setbacks that have thrown off their spring and offseason a bit.
- This is most critical at the linebacker position, where if they do not step up against the veer offense that Zook has put together at Illinois, the Tiger defense may find themselves flatfooted and have a tough time keeping the Illini in front of them.
Alabama @ Clemson
- Overall Observations
- Alabama had a hellava off season, garnering the best recruiting class this year, so chalk it up to Nick Saben doing his job and maybe a fair bit of BAMA tradition
- The reality is that a good recruiting class does not constitute a top 25 rating and I’m really not sure what the “experts” are seeing in this Alabama team
- Of course, this is a neutral game, so tiger fans are not able to look forward to holding funeral services at Death Valley, though the Georgia Dome may act as a surrogate since Clemson is the official home team
- Alabama
- Bama truly has their work cut out for them, especially after finishing their season with a demoralizing defeat against Louisiana-Monroe and yet another loss to Auburn.
- In spite of returning 9 offensive starters, the offense will likely be under greater pressure to produce, and without Caddell, Brown and Hall pulling in the passes, QB John Parker Wilson may struggle a bit…not for his lack of veteran play and leadership, but for lack of support
- Fortunately, Bama brings a tight and tough O-line to the game that should give the pass time to develop and ideally open up the run a bit for Grant and Coffee
- Clemson
- For Clemson though, this is by far their best team in years
- It is tough to find anything bad to say about the Tiger offense, anchored by Cullen Harper at QB, Aaron Kelly catching passes and James Davis and C.J. Spiller running the ball.
- If anything is a question mark at this point, it is whether or not the offensive line has come together or not. The tigers are breaking in 3 new starters up front which is always a scary situation for an offense, even with high caliber talent at the skill positions
- Defensively, Clemson looks solid, including a larcenous secondary that returns 4 starters, and quick defensive ends that should put some serious pressure on QBs
All music on today’s podcast was graciously provided by Rising Conviction. Please check out their website at www.risingconviction.com. The Pre-snap Read is brought to you by The Naked Bootleg.com and Twelve October Productions. All Rights Reserved 2008.
Woody Registration Fixed
August 28, 2008
There was a slight hiccup for those trying to register to get Woody’s content for about a half hour today. Thanks to (name withheld, but you know who you are) for letting us know so we could promptly fix this problem and bring you the content you crave.
We’ve Got Woody!!
August 28, 2008
Woody Johnson is back this year to provide you his expert insight into college football. The first week’s picks have just been posted. To access the entire post you will need to register with us. It is painless and easy, and as always we will not share or sell your information without previous consent.
Woody’s Picks – Week 1
August 28, 2008
WEEK 1
The start of a new season brings new hope for all teams, and for those of us watching the lines on the games a fresh, clean slate. As is the case every week, these picks are for entertainment purposes only. Utilize my advice at your own risk.
YTD 0-0
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Be patient
August 27, 2008
Randy is still figuring all of this out… it’s 1:00 in the damn morning and I have a lovely meeting at 10:00 tomorrow…
Randy’s uneducated guesses
August 26, 2008
Finally the season is upon us. If you haven’t been listening to the Pre-Season Blitz Podcasts then I’d like to know just what the hell you’ve been doing for the past month.
As is my tradition (remember, if you’re an Aggie and you do anything once, it is a tradition) I have sat down and guessed out the schedule for all of the teams for the entire season.
I know… I know… this is absolute lunacy, but this is what I do and how I try and prepare myself for the season. As the season progresses I fill in the results of games and adjust any predictions and then use these guesses to plot out the bowl predictions.
This year, I’m giving you a behind the scenes look at my thoughts going into the season. Enjoy.
Key: We=Expected Wins Le=Expected Losses Win Exp %=Expected Winning Percentage
| School | We | Le | Win Exp % |
| ACC | |||
| Clemson | 11 | 2 | 84.62% |
| Virginia Tech | 11 | 2 | 84.62% |
| Maryland | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Wake Forest | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Florida State | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Boston College | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Georgia Tech | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Miami, FL | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| North Carolina | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Virginia | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Duke | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| NC State | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Big 12 | |||
| Missouri | 12 | 1 | 92.31% |
| Oklahoma | 12 | 1 | 92.31% |
| Texas | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Texas A&M | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Texas Tech | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Nebraska | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Kansas | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Colorado | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Kansas State | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Oklahoma State | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Baylor | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Iowa State | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Big East | |||
| South Florida | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| West Virginia | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Rutgers | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| UConn | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Cincinnati | 8 | 5 | 61.54% |
| Louisville | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Pittsburgh | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Syracuse | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Big Ten | |||
| Wisconsin | 11 | 1 | 91.67% |
| Ohio State | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Illinois | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Iowa | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Michigan State | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Purdue | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Penn State | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Indiana | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Northwestern | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Michigan | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Minnesota | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Conference USA | |||
| UCF | 9 | 4 | 69.23% |
| Tulsa | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| SMU | 8 | 5 | 61.54% |
| East Carolina | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Southern Miss | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| UTEP | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| UAB | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Marshall | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Memphis | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Tulane | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Houston | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Rice | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Independents | |||
| Notre Dame | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Navy | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Western Kentucky | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Army | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| MAC | |||
| Central Michigan | 9 | 4 | 69.23% |
| Western Michigan | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Buffalo | 7 | 6 | 53.85% |
| Ball State | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Temple | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Miami, OH | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Northern Illinois | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Kent State | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Ohio | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Akron | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Toledo | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Bowling Green | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Mountain West | |||
| BYU | 11 | 1 | 91.67% |
| Utah | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| New Mexico | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| TCU | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Wyoming | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| San Diego State | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Air Force | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| UNLV | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Colorado State | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Pac-10 | |||
| USC | 11 | 1 | 91.67% |
| Arizona State | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Washington | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Arizona | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| California | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Oregon | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| UCLA | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Oregon State | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Stanford | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Washington State | 2 | 11 | 15.38% |
| SEC | |||
| Florida | 12 | 1 | 92.31% |
| Georgia | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Auburn | 10 | 3 | 76.92% |
| South Carolina | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Tennessee | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| LSU | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Ole Miss | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Alabama | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| Kentucky | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Arkansas | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Vanderbilt | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Sun Belt | |||
| Florida Atlantic | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Troy | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| North Texas | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| Arkansas State | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Louisiana – Lafayette | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| FIU | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Middle Tennessee | 2 | 10 | 16.67% |
| Louisiana – Monroe | 1 | 11 | 8.33% |
| WAC | |||
| Boise State | 10 | 2 | 83.33% |
| Fresno State | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| Louisiana Tech | 9 | 3 | 75.00% |
| New Mexico State | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Nevada | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Hawaii | 5 | 8 | 38.46% |
| San Jose State | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Idaho | 1 | 11 | 8.33% |
| Utah State | 1 | 11 | 8.33% |



